In this quarter’s investment strategy video, "Actions Over Words," George Hosfield, CFA, delves into the disconnect between consumer sentiment and actual economic behavior. Despite low consumer confidence, retail sales are soaring and the labor market is stabilizing.
Outlook and Insight Third Quarter 2025
Retail Therapy
The mood among American consumers, by many accounts, is grim. This sense of uncertainty and anxiety has been pervasive in 2025.
Actions Over Words
With the S&P 500 tumbling 18% in April from its February high, and subsequently rallying back to an all-time high, the second quarter was a wild rollercoaster for investors.
Tariffs Today: A Compendium
Tariffs have long been used globally to support local industries by incentivizing citizens to purchase domestically made products. At the turn of the 20th century, tariffs were the primary source of tax revenue for many nations. Today, funding comes from income, payroll and corporate taxes. In the U.S., tariffs accounted for approximately 90% of federal income until the Civil War. After World War II, tariffs fell out of favor in developed economies because they often led to reduced trade, higher prices and retaliation from abroad.
Investment Strategy Second Quarter 2025
While market volatility has been highly-elevated in recent weeks with the almost daily change in the proposed tariff landscape, in this quarter’s investment strategy video we endeavor to provide a measured perspective on what lies ahead and how navigate the psychology of investing.
Outlook and Insights Second Quarter 2025
Tariff Tensions
After last November’s election, it was widely expected that tariffs would become a significant focus in 2025. Initially, markets downplayed these concerns, viewing them primarily as negotiating tools rather than serious economic threats.
Turn Down the Volume
After a quick start that saw the S&P 500 jump 5% in the first three weeks of the year, markets abruptly reversed course and gave it all back and then some, with the blue-chip index posting a 4.3% loss for the quarter.
2025 Investment Outlook Webinar Video: Lessons Learned
Annual presentation from Ferguson Wellman sharing our views for the year regarding the global economy and capital markets, as well as a planning update from our wealth management team.
Outlook 2025
We present our Outlook 2025 publication titled “Lessons Learned,” in which we discuss the resilience of the U.S. economy in 2024, highlighting the significant contributions of major technology companies to profit growth and providing insights on asset allocation strategies for 2025. Additionally, our team of analysts provide a look-back on each of the firm’s strategies and a primer on the environment for each in the year ahead.
Investment Strategy Video Fourth Quarter 2024
Chief Investment Officer George Hosfield, CFA, presents the firm's quarterly Investment Strategy titled, "Awaiting the Score." In the video, he discusses how the Fed is shifting its focus to the labor market.
Market Letter Fourth Quarter 2024
We present the fourth quarter 2024 Market Letter publication titled, “Awaiting the Score,” in which Chief Investment Officer George Hosfield, CFA, outlines the positive impact of receding inflation, renewed profit growth and the Fed’s monetary policy on investors. Krystal Daibes Higgins, CFA, discusses the skepticism and evolving debate around the ROI of artificial intelligence (AI). Lastly, Brad Houle, CFA, asks the question, “How Far, How Fast?” when it comes to the Fed’s rate cuts.
Investment Strategy Video Third Quarter 2024
Chief Investment Officer George Hosfield, CFA, presents the firm's quarterly Investment Strategy titled, "We’ve Landed."
Market Letter Third Quarter 2024
We present the third quarter 2024 Market Letter publication titled, “We’ve Landed,” featuring articles written by George Hosfield, CFA, Dean Dordevic and Joe Herrle, CFA.
Quarterly Publication Focus: So Far, So Good
In the cover page of our quarterly Market Letter publication, George Hosfield, CFA, provides an update to our investment strategy titled, “So Far, So Good.” In the piece, George discusses the Fed’s progress in fighting inflation and delivering a soft economic landing, plus an update on the dominant theme of artificial intelligence across equity markets.
Second Quarter 2024 Investment Strategy Video: So Far, So Good
Head of Fixed Income and Principal Brad Houle, CFA, presents the firm's quarterly Investment Strategy titled, "So Far, So Good." In the video he discusses how the Fed's fight on inflation is faring, our belief that commercial real estate is not similar to residential real estate circa 2008 and investors' expectations for earnings for the remainder of the year.
Market Letter Second Quarter 2024: So Far, So Good
We present Market Letter publication for the second quarter 2024 titled “So Far, So Good” in which Chief Investment Officer George Hosfield, CFA, outlines our belief the Fed remains on course to deliver an ever-so-rare soft landing to this inflationary cycle. Dean Dordevic writes about the Japanese economy and Warren Buffett’s investment there in recent years since the introduction of the “Corporate Governance Code” and Jason Norris, CFA, provides an update on equity market valuations and how investors expect the market to grow for the remainder of the year.
Investment Outlook 2024 Video: Sticking the Landing
Annual presentation from Ferguson Wellman sharing our views for the year regarding the global economy and capital markets, as well as a planning update from our wealth management team.
2024 Investment Outlook Webinar Video: Sticking the Landing
Annual presentation from Ferguson Wellman sharing our views for the year regarding the global economy and capital markets, as well as a planning update from our wealth management team.